小龙·哈勃 发表于 2005-6-6 20:23

[06.06]中国晴天时钟(测试)

NOTE

最近一阵忙碌,简单的弄了一个天气预测模型,我想也许对天文观测有用的。

作为测试,用6月3日的数据预测今晨8时的天气。

以下有几个是南十字星会的观测点。



MM5 Simulated forecast for Guangzhou:
Forecast time 08h June 6:
Geopotential/Height Humidity/Cover
850hPa/1450m 87%/Overcast
700hPa/3100m 72%/Overcast
500hPa/5900m 87%/Overcast
300hPa/9700m 77%/Overcast


MM5 Simulated forecast for Lutian:
Forecast time 08h June 6:
Geopotential/Height Humidity/Cover
850hPa/1450m 87%/Overcast
700hPa/3100m 87%/Overcast
500hPa/5900m 97%/Overcast
300hPa/9700m 77%/Overcast


MM5 Simulated forecast for Heshui:
Forecast time 08h June 6:
Geopotential/Height Humidity/Cover
850hPa/1450m 87%/Overcast
700hPa/3100m 67%/Scattered Clouds
500hPa/5900m 67%/Overcast
300hPa/9700m 77%/Overcast


MM5 Simulated forecast for Nanjing:
Forecast time 08h June 6:
Geopotential/Height Humidity/Cover
850hPa/1450m 17%/Clear
700hPa/3100m 0%/Clear
500hPa/5900m 97%/Overcast
300hPa/9700m 67%/Overcast


MM5 Simulated forecast for Shanghai:
Forecast time 08h June 6:
Geopotential/Height Humidity/Cover
850hPa/1450m 42%/Clear
700hPa/3100m 0%/Clear
500hPa/5900m 62%/Scattered Clouds
300hPa/9700m 57%/Scattered Clouds


MM5 Simulated forecast for Tsingdao:
Forecast time 08h June 6:
Geopotential/Height Humidity/Cover
850hPa/1450m 72%/Scattered Clouds
700hPa/3100m 47%/Clear
500hPa/5900m 82%/Overcast
300hPa/9700m 57%/Scattered Clouds

小龙·哈勃 发表于 2005-6-6 20:32

NOTE:
给出的是不同位势,也就是不同高度层的水汽预测,然后通过水汽-云量公式转换成云量,有三种表达:Clear表示无云,Scattered Clouds表示有云,Overcast表示阴天。

地球人 发表于 2005-6-7 01:39

支持!

小龙,注意一下数字化和标准化,便于将来自动生成GIF图像文件

参考:http://cleardarksky.com/txtc/SrtgaCAcsp.txt

小龙·哈勃 发表于 2005-6-7 22:04

多谢楼上提醒,我目前还在想办法求云量。
这个模型预测广州的准确率有70%左右,预测南京的准确率有40%左右。里面有几个参数也许还可以改的。

Sunjune 发表于 2005-6-10 15:19

不明白。看不东!!用来干什么啊!??预测天空??

还不如看看卫星云图?

小龙·哈勃 发表于 2005-6-12 12:51

是用来预测云量的
不过卫星云图没办法预测啊,还是变成数学模型来做预测可靠些。
页: [1]
查看完整版本: [06.06]中国晴天时钟(测试)