2009年英仙座流星雨对几个回归物的预测

北京时间2009年8月12日4：38地球遭遇斯威夫特·塔特尔彗星1862年抛射物，届时英仙座流星雨将有小的爆发 ZHR=200




2009

encounters with trails
trail	year	rD-rE	Vej	fM(fMD)	sol.long.	Max. time	ZHRex	Reliability
rev.	-	m/s	-	°	AU	UT	meteors	-
1	1872	-0.00335	31.32	0.079	139.478	12.08.2009 4:33	1	4
2	1737	0.00463	23.06	0.015	139.599	12.08.2009 7:35	1	3
3	1610	0.00094	11.82	0.005	139.621	12.08.2009 8:07	5	3

In this decade Jupiter will cause heightened activity in 2004. It will reach 150-170 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 20:38 UT 11 August 1862 trail will produce an outburst up to 200 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be around average level. Also somewhat heightened activity is likely in 2003 and 2005. In 2006 and 2007 activity will be about normal level or slightly below it. Another increase of background activity will happen in 2009. In will be a strong one, activity can surpass level of 200 meteors on ZHR scale. Also heightened activity is expected in 2008 and 2010.

期待日全食，期待英仙座流星雨。。。

好大流量~~~~~~~~！！！