Orionids (ORI) | | Active: | October 2-November 7 | Maximum: | October 21 (λo = 208°) | ZHR = | 30 | Radiant: | α = 095° δ = +16° | Radiant drift: | see Table 6 | v∞ = | 66 km/s; r = 2.4 | TFC: | α = 100° δ = +39° and α = 075° δ = +24° (β > 40° N) | \in | or α = 080° δ = +01° and α = 117° δ = +01° (β < 40° N) |
October's new Moon also perfectly favours the Orionids at their peak in 2009. The shower's radiant, near the celestial equator, is at a useful elevation by around local midnight in either hemisphere, somewhat before in the north, so most of the world can enjoy the shower. Both 2006 and 2007 produced unexpectedly strong Orionid rates, with ZHRs better than the normal peak seen on two or three consecutive nights, at best up to 50-70. The 2006 return also produced a good number of bright Orionids. IMO analyses of the shower, most recently by Jürgen Rendtel using data from 1979-2006, have found both the peak ZHR and r parameters varied somewhat from year to year, but with maximum ZHRs usually around 20-25, and an average r of 2.4. An earlier IMO examination by Audrius Dubietis seemed to partly confirm a suspected 12-year periodicity in stronger returns found earlier in the 20th century. That would suggest better returns again in the 2008-2010 interval, thus perhaps best ZHRs should be around 30 this year. The strong 2006-07 returns seem to have had a separate resonant cause, and a further enhancement was anticipated for 2008 (still to come when this was prepared). However, this was not expected to repeat in 2009, so it will be particularly interesting to see what takes place this time. The Orionids were always noted for having several lesser maxima other than their main one, helping activity sometimes to remain roughly constant for several consecutive nights centred on this peak. In 1993 and 1998, a submaximum about as strong as the normal peak was detected on October 17/18 from Europe, for instance. All observers should be aware of these possibilities, as observing circumstances are equally favourable for covering October 17/18 beneath dark skies this time too. Several visual subradiants had been reported in the past, but recent video work suggests the radiant is far less complex; photographic, telescopic and video work to confirm this would be useful, as visual observers have clearly had problems with the shower's radiant determination before. |