The Perseids are one of the most exciting and dynamic meteor showers; producing fast-moving shooting stars throughout July and August. Based on IMO observations from recent years, we expect the "normal" peak of ~100 meteors per hour to occur in the night of August 12-13 between 18h and 7h Universal Time.
The shower surprised on several occasions over the last two decades by showing outbursts of 150 to 400+ meteors/hour due to the Earth passing through regions of higher density in the dust stream. Simulations by Mikhail Maslov and Jeremie Vaubaillon indicate that we may again encounter 'dust trails' this year, left behind in 441 and 1479, as well as denser regions due to perturbations of the stream by Saturn. Unfortunately, neither of these effects are expected to cause significant activity on top of the "normal" peak. Worldwide observations by amateur astronomers are required during all nights near the maximum to verify and improve these predictions.
New Moon on August 10 creates perfect conditions to observe the shower. Perseids are best observed after local midnight, when the radiant gains altitude in the sky. In fact, highest rates are visible towards the early morning hours when the radiant reaches its highest point. We strongly encourage visual observations to be made according to the standard procedure and submitted through the online report form. Such observations will automatically be included in the ZHR activity graph below (click for more results).
Simulations byMikhail Maslov and Jeremie Vaubaillon indicate that we may again encounter 'dust trails' this year, left behind in 441 and 1479, as well as denser regions due to perturbations of the stream by Saturn. Unfortunately, neither of these effects are expected to cause significant activity on top of the "normal" peak.
置顶卡
变色卡
千斤顶
显身卡
