太阳在平安夜发脾气了？

http://spaceweather.com/

CHRISTMAS EVE ERUPTION: A filament of magnetism connected to sunspot AR1386 erupted during the early hours of Dec. 24th. Extreme UV-wavelength cameras onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the picturesque blast:

                               
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The C5-class eruption hurled a billion-ton coronal mass ejection (CME) into space, but not toward Earth. With the cloud sailing wide-left of our planet, Christmas geomagnetic storms are unlikely. Nevertheless, this active region merits watching as it turns toward Earth in the days ahead, possibly positioning itself for the first storms of 2012.

空间天气
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html
澳大利亚的
http://www.ips.gov.au/Solar/1/9

自动更新

                               
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太阳黑子数曲线图

                               
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         FORECAST SOLAR CYCLE 24
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cycle  Sol. Start  Sol. Max  Max SSN     Length     Rise to Max     Max to End
       Year Mth    Year Mth             Yr   Mth    Years   Mths    Years  Mths
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24     2009 Jan    2012 Dec   90.2     11.0 132     3.9    47       7.1    86




IPS will adjust this forecast cycle as the new cycle unfolds.
The difficulty is ensuring that adjustments are not made for short
term variation, only for longer term cycle variation.

IPS OBSERVED AND PREDICTED SOLAR INDICES FOR CYCLE 24
                  Prepared by IPS Radio and Space Services
                         Issued on Dec 01  2011
------------------------ SMOOTHED SUNSPOT NUMBER ---------------------------
Year   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
2000 113.0 116.9 120.0 120.9 119.0 118.8 119.8 118.7 116.3 114.5 112.7 112.1
2001 108.7 104.0 104.8 107.5 108.6 109.8 111.7 113.6 114.1 114.0 115.5 114.6
2002 113.5 114.6 113.3 110.5 108.8 106.2 102.7  98.7  94.6  90.5  85.3  82.1
2003  81.0  78.6  74.2  70.4  67.9  65.3  62.1  60.3  59.8  58.4  57.0  55.0
2004  52.1  49.4  47.2  45.6  43.9  41.7  40.2  39.3  37.6  35.9  35.4  35.2
2005  34.6  34.0  33.6  31.7  28.9  28.8  29.1  27.5  25.9  25.6  25.0  23.0
2006  20.8  18.7  17.4  17.1  17.4  16.4  15.3  15.6  15.6  14.2  12.7  12.1
2007  12.0  11.6  10.8   9.9   8.7   7.7   7.0   6.1   5.9   6.1   5.7   5.0
2008   4.2   3.6   3.3   3.3   3.5   3.2   2.7   2.6   2.2   1.8   1.7   1.7
2009   1.8   1.9   2.0   2.2   2.3   2.7   3.6   4.8   6.1   7.0   7.5   8.2
2010   9.2  10.6  12.3  13.9  15.4  16.3  16.7  17.4  19.6  23.2  26.5  28.9
2011  31.0  33.5  36.9  41.8  47.6  53.0e 57.4e 61.3e 63.9e 65.7e 68.3e 71.8e
2012  75.3e 78.5e 80.3e 80.6e 80.3e 80.9  84.4  85.3  86.1  87.5  89.4  90.2
2013  89.4  88.8  87.9  86.7  85.6  84.9  84.3  83.2  82.8  82.4  81.7  80.9
2014  80.6  80.8  81.3  81.4  81.1  80.3  78.7  77.2  75.8  74.0  72.0  70.5
2015  69.1  67.5  65.1  62.5  60.1  57.8  55.7  53.9  51.8  50.0  48.4  46.4
2016  44.4  43.0  41.3  39.4  37.9  36.4  34.9  33.9  33.1  32.1  30.7  29.1
2017  27.9  26.5  25.0  23.6  22.0  20.4  18.8  17.8  16.9  16.0  15.1  14.2
2018  13.7  13.3  12.8  12.4  12.0  11.4  10.4   9.4   8.6   8.0   7.4   6.4
2019   5.4   4.5   3.9   3.5   3.4   3.3   3.1   2.8   2.1   1.9   1.8   1.7
============================================================================
-----------------  EQUIVALENT 10.7 CM SOLAR RADIO FLUX ---------------------
Year   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
2000 162.2 166.2 169.4 170.3 168.3 168.1 169.2 168.0 165.6 163.7 161.9 161.2
2001 157.8 153.0 153.7 156.6 157.7 158.9 160.8 162.8 163.3 163.2 164.8 163.9
2002 162.7 163.9 162.5 159.6 157.9 155.2 151.6 147.6 143.4 139.3 134.1 131.0
2003 129.9 127.6 123.4 119.7 117.4 114.9 112.0 110.4 109.9 108.7 107.4 105.6
2004 103.2 100.8  98.9  97.6  96.2  94.4  93.3  92.5  91.2  89.9  89.5  89.4
2005  88.9  88.4  88.1  86.7  84.7  84.6  84.8  83.6  82.5  82.3  81.9  80.5
2006  79.0  77.6  76.8  76.7  76.8  76.2  75.5  75.7  75.7  74.8  73.9  73.6
2007  73.5  73.3  72.8  72.3  71.6  71.0  70.6  70.1  70.1  70.1  69.9  69.5
2008  69.1  68.8  68.6  68.7  68.7  68.6  68.4  68.3  68.1  67.9  67.9  67.8
2009  67.9  67.9  68.0  68.1  68.1  68.4  68.8  69.4  70.2  70.6  70.9  71.3
2010  71.9  72.7  73.6  74.6  75.6  76.1  76.4  76.8  78.2  80.7  82.9  84.6
2011  86.2  88.0  90.7  94.6  99.3 103.9e107.8e111.3e113.7e115.3e117.7e121.0e
2012 124.4e127.5e129.2e129.5e129.2e129.8 133.3 134.1 134.9 136.3 138.2 139.0
2013 138.2 137.6 136.7 135.5 134.4 133.7 133.2 132.1 131.7 131.3 130.6 129.8
2014 129.5 129.7 130.2 130.3 130.0 129.2 127.7 126.2 124.9 123.1 121.2 119.8
2015 118.5 117.0 114.8 112.4 110.2 108.1 106.3 104.7 102.9 101.3 100.0  98.3
2016  96.6  95.5  94.1  92.6  91.4  90.3  89.1  88.4  87.7  87.0  86.0  84.8
2017  83.9  82.9  81.9  80.9  79.8  78.8  77.7  77.1  76.5  75.9  75.4  74.8
2018  74.5  74.3  74.0  73.7  73.5  73.1  72.6  72.0  71.5  71.2  70.9  70.3
2019  69.8  69.3  69.0  68.8  68.7  68.7  68.6  68.4  68.0  67.9  67.9  67.8
============================================================================
This page is updated monthly using observed monthly sunspot numbers from
the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (http://sidc.oma.be).  Monthly
values are smoothed using a 13 monthly running filter (first and last half weighting)
and, where needed, combined with a predicted sunspot number curve for Cycle 24.
Values which have an "e" next to them are based partly on observed and partly on
predicted values.  Values earlier in time to these are based entirely on
observed values; values later in time are entirely predicted.  Observed
data are adjusted slightly at times to use the SIDC final monthly values
which are available several months later - SIDC preliminary monthly values
are used up to this time.

All Solar Radio Flux values, including the "observed" values, are
obtained from sunspot numbers using a statistical conversion.  They are
best described as equivalent solar flux values.
FORECAST SOLAR CYCLE 24
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cycle  Sol. Start  Sol. Max  Max SSN     Length     Rise to Max     Max to End
       Year Mth    Year Mth             Yr   Mth    Years   Mths    Years  Mths
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24     2009 Jan    2012 Dec   90.2     11.0 132     3.9    47       7.1    86




IPS will adjust this forecast cycle as the new cycle unfolds.
The difficulty is ensuring that adjustments are not made for short
term variation, only for longer term cycle variation.

                               
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太阳关心银河年，地球年不关心

自从知道了太阳的很多事情后，再看到阳光，我总在心里想这个恒星，内部发生着核聚变，
多亏了它，给了人类光和热，
多亏了它，不大也不小，不远也不近。
才有了地球上的生命。
一切都是偶然吧。