Hi all ,
I analyzed the last visuals magnitudes received and my personal prediction of
maximun brightness for this comet based 145 visuals observations is m1 ~ 5 :
-350 < T < -140 days .. m0 = 3.1 , n = 10.9 , pre-conjunction ,
-80 < T < -30 days .. m0 = 6.0 , n = 2.6 , post-conjunction
The comet has suffered a significant drop in activity conjunction post and now
only reflects almost like a solid body without gas or dust activity n = 2.6 ,
this is typical of new comets from oort cloud in the heliocentric range 1,7 < r
< 1,4 u.a. , the most probable cause is volatil change dominate the light visual
curve of CO+ --> H2O .
Regards , J. P. Navarro Pina .
按这说法几乎是噩耗 |